Trump Gets Stunningly Good News Days Before First Primary

OPINION:  This article contains commentary which may reflect the author’s opinion

According to a source on Friday, former President Trump’s campaign in Iowa has shown substantial improvement in its “ground game” since 2016, as the first primary in the country looms on Tuesday. This time, Trump is “taking nothing for granted” and is being cautious.

According to The Federalist, four days before the event, “Donald Trump Jr. rallied the troops in suburban Des Moines on behalf of his frontrunner father,” adding that “motivation was a hard commodity to come by on a cold and gray January day, with the remnants of the first heavy snowstorm of the season mucking up the streets with dirty slush.”

However, the source mentioned that the participants of “Hawkeye Cauci” are “are hearty stock” and have consistently attended the event, with some attending for over 50 years, “and they take their role as first-in-the-nation ambassadors of the presidential nomination chase very seriously.”

The Federalist went on:

We’ll see just how serious Iowa’s Republican voters are come Monday, caucus day, when the high is expected to drop below zero. By 7 p.m. Iowa time, when this internationally watched political pageant gets underway, temperatures could plummet to as low as minus-15 degrees with a wind chill of Ouch! 

But if the 2024 presidential campaign and the past eight years have taught us anything, it’s that there are people in this deeply divided republic who would crawl through broken glass, barbed wire, and solid ice to vote for the former president.

Despite Trump’s substantial lead of at least 50 points over his rivals nationally and approximately 35 points in Iowa, his campaign is not “taking anything for granted,” and remains cautious, according to the publication.

“That’s why this Monday is so critical. We’ve got to send a message,” Don Jr. said to over 80 Trump supporters in Urbandale’s Machine Shed restaurant during an event arranged by the Des Moines Bull Moose Conservative Club, emphasizing the need to convey a message.

“I understand it’s going to be minus-4, but if I can get my Florida butt back up here … everyone can get back up here,” he exclaimed.

The Trump campaign’s pitch, as highlighted by The Federalist, is straightforward: Disregard the polls and attend the event with the assumption that the former president is down in popularity.

“We’ve got to treat Monday as if we’re 10 points back,” stated Trump Jr.

He proposed that those on the left, conventional Republicans, and MSM who are hostile of Trump are banking on the expectation that caucus-goers will not show up in significant numbers, with the intention of diminishing the expected impressive performance of the former president. There is a risk that if Trump supporters believe they will definitely win and the probability of success is less, it could give Trump’s opponents an opportunity to manipulate the situation in the days heading into the NH Republican primary next week.

“In short, Trump is beatable,” the publication stated.

His detractors emphasize the Iowa caucuses of 2016, a year in which Trump had a notable influence on the political scene but ultimately tied for second place with Florida Republican Senator Marco Rubio. Senator Ted Cruz of Texas prevailed in the caucuses amidst a larger group of contenders.

Nevertheless, significant changes have occurred in the last eight years. The newspaper said that although Trump still possesses many of his own characteristics, he approaches the election as a significantly transformed candidate. The result in Iowa, which ultimately favored Cruz, had little consequences. Trump then obtained the GOP nominee, emerged victorious in the presidential election, and became the central target of strong hostility from the left.

He is currently a candidate who has experienced numerous battles, and it may be argued that he has more political scars than any prior contender in the history of the nation.

“Moreover, the Trump ground game in Iowa is significantly improved, more nimble, and much better organized than it was during his first presidential run. It’s so good, in fact, Trump can’t even seem to believe it,” The Federalist noted.

Iowa state Senator Brad Zaun was the first elected official in that state to endorse Trump when he first ran and first this year as well. Zaun stated “I was with the president all last week, and he asked me that exact question [about whether the ground game has improved since 2016], and I told him it’s the difference between night and day.”

On the other side of the aisle, Barack Obama, who has exerted influence discreetly in the Biden administration, has expressed strong concerns about the potential consequences if the current president fails to secure re-election against former president Donald Trump.

NBC observed a worrisome development for the Biden campaign.

The Washington Post, a journal renowned for its alignment with the Democratic Party, recently reported on the purported discontent of the Obama camp with the Biden campaign. This might potentially have negative implications for the current president’s chances of success.

Former President Barack Obama has raised questions about the structure of President Biden’s reelection campaign, discussing the matter directly with Biden and telling the president’s aides and allies the campaign needs to be empowered to make decisions without clearing them with the White House, according to three people familiar with the conversations.

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